Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Iran: Nukes or Negotiations?

Iran is either easing itself into calmer more tepid waters, or sliming its way into an inevitable maelstrom.  It is hard to know where to start the analysis.  Lately the world has seen responsible (if not peaceful) overtures from this complex and often duplicitous country.  Certainly Iran wants to have a stake in the future of Syria since it looks more and more like Syria's future may be resemble its past.  Iran cannot afford to lose the ground it has made there.  Turkey appears to be thinking for itself again, and hopefully removing Iran's shackles.  Thus, there is every reason for Iran to start acting like a responsible nation. 

What price will we pay to entertain promises of deals to end fears of Iran's nuclear ambitions?  Israel, the nation Iran has publicly chosen for eradication, sees itself caught in a conundrum.  It must either acquiesce to a U.S.-brokered deal, or maintain its aggressive stance alone.  The rift between U.S. and Israeli foreign policy is now very public. Only time will tell if Israel's fears of continued proliferation and a nuclear arms race are well-founded, or if they are baseless (one can only hope the latter).  

If Iran is to give up its ambitions, why must it make the world sign an "interim agreement?"  Why not turn over the keys to Homs and so many other sites to the IAEA so inspections can begin?  If an arms race is not in the making, as Israel fears it is, why is Saudi Arabia already working on building its own capabilities?

So many questions, so little time. 

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